BLAST Premier Fall 2021 - Group C - Preview
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BLAST Premier Fall 2021 - Group C - Preview

Natus Vincere will look to continue their stellar form as they take on the likes of FaZe and OG in Group C

Valle
Freelance Esports Writer
24th Sep, 21·☕️ 6 min read
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Natus Vincere will look to continue their stellar form as they take on the likes of FaZe and OG in Group C

Competition Information

For those of you who haven’t been watching the event so far, here is a rundown of the format. The BLAST Premier Fall Group stage will feature twelve of the world’s best teams who will hope to qualify for the Fall Finals in late November. In this article, we will preview Group B, which will start today, on September 20th.

The twelve teams have been divided into three double-elimination (GSL style) groups. The top two teams in each group will qualify for the Fall Finals, with the bottom two getting a second chance at the Fall Showdown event starting on October 12th.

Group A

  • 🇩🇰 Astralis
  • 🇫🇷 Vitality
  • 🇺🇸 Evil Geniuses
  • 🇺🇸 Liquid

Group B

  • 🇪🇺 G2
  • 🇧🇷 MIBR
  • 🇸🇪 NiP
  • 🇩🇪 BIG

Group C

  • 🇺🇦 Natus Vincere
  • 🇪🇺 OG
  • 🇪🇺 FaZe
  • 🇪🇺 compLexity

Opening Matches:

Natus Vincere (1.36) vs. OG (3.10)

These two haven’t played against each other once this year, so there is no match history to go by for this one. This is a matchup where both teams have the same perma-ban (Vertigo) which makes the veto a lot more unpredictable. In the past, we have seen NaVi go for the Inferno ban, a map where OG are very comfortable. However, if they do so here, they open up for OG to pick Overpass, their best map so far in terms of overall win rate and the worst for this new NaVi roster with B1T. As for NaVi, well, they usually go for Dust2 against OG but I could also see them pick Nuke as it has been a very good map for them with BIG and OG have struggled on Nuke with this roster.

Chances are that NaVi get things done against OG over three, but I think this is a decent spot to take the underdog on their map choice. Either OG to win Map 1 at 2.41 or OG +3.5 rounds on Map 1 at 1.75.

FaZe (1.75) vs. Complexity (2.04)

This is probably the highlight of the opening matches, as coldzera will make his debut for Complexity against his former team. FaZe got the better of Complexity the last time they met, which was at the IEM Cologne play-in stage. However, that was played on LAN so things are different this time around. Nuke and Dust2 were the maps in that series and I suspect that we will see Complexity go for the Nuke pick once more with how the veto is likely to play out. However, we could see FaZe go for a map like Ancient or Inferno over Dust2 if Complexity doesn’t ban it.

I am not a fan of this FaZe side online, but I think they have a decent sized edge on their map choice in this series. Complexity have zero games on record on Inferno since es3tag joined and they are winless on Ancient. With coldzera having just joined Complexity, it is hard to disregard the advantage FaZe would have on these two maps with Ancient being such a recent addition to the map pool and Inferno requiring good team synergy. As long as they pick one of these two, I’d say that betting on FaZe to win Map 2 is the play. I’d say that they are still favourites if they were to pick Dust2, but the bet is not as solid if that is how they choose to approach the veto.

The Current Season

Natus Vincere

Natus Vincere
Record: 75 / 0 / 38
Most Played Map: Mirage (62.1%)
Best Map: Nuke (93.1%)
Worst Map: Overpass (41.7%)

Natus Vincere have been nothing short of excellent, winning five events so far this year. They will take on an OG side in the opener that they haven’t yet played in 2021, so that makes for an interesting matchup.

I’d say that OG is the team that has the biggest chance of the upset against them in this group. We saw Complexity win against NaVi back in April, but that was when NaVi still had flamie play some maps. With B1T now well established in the roster and k0nfig out for Complexity, things are different this time around. As for FaZe, well, NaVi have absolutely dominated them so far this year, beating them in five straight series.

FaZe

FaZe
Record: 28 / 0 / 25
Most Played Map: Mirage (63.6%)
Best Map: Mirage (63.6%)
Worst Map: Nuke (33.3%)

FaZe had a very respectable showing at IEM Cologne, but they could not replicate that form online at ESL Pro League. Natus Vincere have been a thorn in their side recently, eliminating them from ESL Pro League and beating them five times just this year, so it is rough that they have been drawn in the same group once more. With that said, FaZe have gotten the better of both OG and Complexity the last time they played them, so with the double-elimination format, they definitely have a shot at advancement.

Complexity

Complexity
Record: 61 / 0 / 46
Most Played Map: Mirage (64.9%)
Best Map: Mirage (64.9%)
Worst Map: Dust2 (43.8%)

Complexity will play this event with coldzera, who has joined the team after k0nfig picked up a hand injury. On paper, coldzera is a player that many teams would consider picking up because of his accolades, but I question if he really is the right fit for this team. They already have so many players who are defensive, so it is questionable if they will make things work long term.

When Complexity played with a stand-in at ESL Pro League, we saw blameF play more aggressively than what we have seen from him in the past. The Dane had a great showing, leading his team with an overall rating of 1.18 despite having the highest entry frags attempted at 28.4%. This shows that he can fill in for k0nfig, but this also puts a lot more pressure on the likes of jks and coldzera to put up the numbers on the lurk.

There will certainly be rounds and games where blameF won’t be effective on the entry so jks and coldzera will have to deliver or it is simply a waste of blameF’s talent. With that said, if Complexity can make playoffs at EPL with NaToSaphiX, they can certainly make it out of this group with coldzera.

OG

G2
Record: 35 / 0 / 21
Most Played Map: Mirage (68.8%)
Best Map: Overpass (71.4%)
Worst Map: Nuke (33.3%)

OG have had some solid showings since they picked up flameZ and niko. Second place at IEM Summer and recently a third place finish at ESL Pro League is a brilliant start for the international roster. They have received a tough opening draw against Natus Vincere in this group, but if there is any team that could upset them, it is probably OG.

Aleksib has this team performing very well, and mantuu has looked excellent on the AWP. Even if they were to lose against NaVi in the opener, I think that they have a decent shot at battling back against both FaZe and Complexity to make it through. When you look at the rosters of the respective teams, it feels crazy to say so when you consider the talent on teams like FaZe and Complexity, but that is how well OG are playing right now.