The ESL One Germany 2020 group stage is coming to an end
Tuesday’s Round 5 will be the last play day of the group stage. We will find the last 3 teams that will get their ticket for the playoffs. We have 3 amazing series on Tuesday, let’s try to analyse matches and predict the winners.
5men +1.5 @ 1.63
What an opening for the final group stage day we have here. 5men and Team Nigma are two teams that we expected to finish top 8. However, both teams need to fight until the end to get ther spot. Both teams have 2 wins and 2 losses in the competition. 5men won vs Extremum and Vikin.gg surprisingly enough. However, they’ve lost to NiP and Team Liquid by clean 0-2 results. Pity, because there is much more in them. Nigma however was the greatest disappointment of this tournament for now. They had one of the easiest schedules and opponents in the group stage, and they’ve managed to blow it away. Their opening 0-2 loss vs Yellow Submarine shocked us all. Another loss came vs underdogs mudgolems, while they’ve managed to beat Winstrike and Tempo to be here, in the last battle for the playoffs. Nigma’s play is really disappointing now, and I see a great potential for 5men surprise here. They can pull off a map for sure, even though Nigma is a far better team overall. But the current form is not on Nigma’s side.
Natus Vincere @ 1.24
Yellow Submarine could be the biggest underdog in the competition for now. Their surprising performance managed to shock teams like Nigma and NiP. Their other two opponents were not easy either, OG and Secret. Those are the matches where they couldn’t do anything to much stronger teams. With 2 wins and 2 losses, both teams are fighting their deciding match. Natus Vincere’s performance is so inconsistent now, that I can see possibility for a surprise here. NaVi lost to mudgolems and Liquid, while they’ve beat two weaker CIS teams, Cyber Legacy and Winstrike. Seems like Yellow Submarine is in much better form, as they have 3 wins from their last 5 matches, while NaVi has only 2 wins. However, on paper, NaVi is a much stronger team. With V-Tune and Iceberg, I hardly can see them lose a match here. However, Yellow Submarine can pull off a map here for sure, it will all depend on a draft and ingame state. I would play safe here and go for NaVI ML odds. If you can find decent ones.
Ninjas In Pyjamas +1.5 @ 1.49
I think this could be the closest series of the day. Those two teams have a rich match history recently. In the last month, they’ve played 3 times. Ninjas managed to take two series with clean 2-0 scores, while Vikin.gg managed to take their recent match with the same result. However, in this competition, they are even. 2 wins, 2 losses, and not great performance. NiP beat 5men and HellRaisers, while Vikin.gg, recent BTS Pro Series champions did beat HellRaisers and Cyber Legacy. Interestingly enough, they lost 1-2 to 5men, the team that was beaten by NiP. NiP really showed some glimpses of a good play like vs Alliance where they’ve taken a map. In other words, NiP has a positive map win-loss ratio here. 6 maps won, 4 lost. With that I believe they will be equal opponents to Vikin.gg today, and NiP handicap is a good bet to go here.