We break down two of today's matches in IEM Beijing and Flashpoint 2.
fnatic +1.5 (1.30)
fnatic and MAD Lions have faced off twice since refrezh and HooXi joined MAD Lions, and both of those games went to three maps. Both teams have shown the ability to win on the opponent’s map choice, so this really is as even of a game as you can get, and the odds indicate just that. I think fnatic take a map or win this series outright enough to consider taking them here on the handicap. They have shown massive improvement on Vertigo and their Inferno is very strong. The fact that MAD Lions perma-ban Dust2 is ideal, since it allows fnatic to play Vertigo in this matchup rather than Dust2 or Nuke.
Vitality Map 1 (1.82)
Heroic have gotten the better of Vitality in two straight finals, beating them at DreamHack Open Fall and ESL One Cologne. However, I think that Vitality have a pretty sizeable edge on their map choice in a BO3. They usually go for Dust2 or Overpass, whichever one Heroic does not ban, and so far they have yet to lose when they have done just that. I would expect Vitality to pick first, making the Map 1 odds the most appealing play, but it is far from guaranteed. It might be worth waiting until maps are locked in before placing any bet.