Another exciting day of ESL One Birmingham 2020: Europe & CIS group stage is over. With some amazing series and a lot of upsets, we concluded day 5 of this tournament. 3 more days remaining until we find out the teams that will go to the playoffs. Here are some Friday matches and their analysis.
NaVi ML @ 1.48
Even though NaVi have recently changed a player, they are doing decently for now. With 2 wins and 2 losses, they are holding 5th place in the group stage and they still have a chance to advance on to the playoffs. On the other side, Gambit looks like one of the worst teams in the tournament, together with Winstrike.
With 4 losses, they are firmly holding last place in the group. They’ve only managed to take 1 map vs Nigma, but they have lost 8 of them. NaVi won against Family Team (ex Aggressive Mode) and Unique, but lost to Vikin.gg and Nigma. However, from their last 5 matches, Gambit has all 5 losses, with 1 map won out of 11. Even though NaVi is not a top European / CIS team, they should win this match easily. Odds on NaVi ML are okay.
NiP @ 1.56
NiP have 2 wins and 2 losses in this league at the moment. NiP won against Winstrike and Alliance, while HellRaisers have 3 wins, and they have won against Cyber Legacy, FlyToMoon and surprisingly OG. Their last match was vs OG and they celebrated with a 2-1 win. That match shows you how EU Dota is in an unpredictable state right now, even though I must admit OG is looking lost like they’ve just come back from a vacation.
In the last 20 days, NiP and HR played 1 time, and NiP took the victory with a 2-0 score. Even though NiP is on a 2 match loosing streak (vs 2 CIS teams), and HR are on a 2 match winning streak, I do believe NiP are the better team overall. NiP have better and more quality players and they should take this match, even though it should be a close one. 3 maps potentially.
FlyToMoon @ 2.07
I’m feeling like this match will go to all 3 maps. Strangely enough, FlyToMoon is always an underdog in every match they’re playing. Both teams have 2 wins and 2 losses in this tournament, even though Alliance has a little bit better map win-loss ratio. Their last match was 10 days ago and Alliance took the 2-0 victory. It seems like FlyToMoon are performing strong against European teams, as they have beaten NiP and OG, while they are underperforming vs CIS teams like HellRaisers and VP.Prodigy, where they’ve lost that matches.
However, this time they are playing vs another EU team, who are not looking too good either. If Cyber Legacy took a win against Alliance, why shouldn’t FlyToMoon who are a much better and stronger team overall than CL. I do believe FTM has the quality to take Alliance down. They will surely take a map off Alliance, so the handicap on FTM is a good and safe way to go if you find good odds too.