We are at the halfway point of ESL One Birmingham 2020: Europe & CIS group stage. After 4 match days the situation is getting really interesting. This tournament was, until now, one of the hardest ones for betting, since there are so many favourites who are dropping maps and games. Let’s try to bet smarter now and make some profit for the upcoming days.
Unique +1.5 @ 1.92
Yes, I called Team Unique one of the weakest teams in this tournament. And immediately after I said that we witnessed one of the biggest upsets in the last two months. Unique has 2-0’d Team Secret on Wednesday in their group match. They’ve managed to give the first loss to Team Secret after 2 months. Together with that impressive win, Unique has 2 losses, one vs NaVi and one vs Family Team (ex Aggressive Mode).
On the other side, Nigma is continuing with their struggle, as they have dropped a map to very weak Gambit side who is 0-4 in their group currently. Can Unique continue and extend their impressive performance to Thursday too. Can they threaten Nigma and take a map or even the map series off them? We will see, I believe they can take a map, but that’s all. Odds are so juicy too. Nigma is 3-0 in the group stage, even though they lost a couple of maps to much weaker teams, and odds on their ML win are really low, not worth betting for. So either you pick handicap -1.5 on Nigma or handicap +1.5 on Unique. My bet is Unique.
Family Team +1.5 @ 1.47
Family Team or ex Aggressive Mode are holding 5th place in their group with 1 win and 2 losses. They’ve managed to beat Unique 2-0, but they have lost to a strong Liquid with a 0-2 score. However, they’ve managed to take a map off Nigma which was really impressive. I believe they are a really decent Greek team and they can take a map off any team in this group stage if some things align for them.
NaVi has the same score as Family - 1 win and 2 losses. However, they’ve both been destroyed by Vikin.gg and Nigma. NaVi is favoured here, but they haven’t been looking good lately either. They are struggling a lot, and they still havent’t fully adapted their new player into the lineup. NaVi ML would be a safer bet here, but Family +1.5 has a little higher odds. I truly believe they can take a map off inconsistent NaVi.
FlyToMoon +1.5 @ 1.71
What to say about VirtusPro.Prodigy? They are most probably the strongest team currently in the CIS region. Even better than their main Virtus.Pro team. It is very rare that we see that some academy team is so strong that they can easily beat their main squad so dominantly. From their last 5 matches, they have all 5 wins. When we are talking about their clashes vs FlyToMoon, in the last 1 month VP.Prodigy has 5-2 advantage in the maps over FlyToMoon. They’ve crushed HellRaisers in this tournament, and even OG with a clean 2-0. Cyber Legacy managed to take a map off them, but that was impressive map play from CL, hands down.
FlyToMoon is maybe my favourite CIS team currently, I just enjoy watching them as they have really aggressive style with a lot of rotations, and they have well rounded team and players. However, they still haven’t managed to show their full potential. They had impressive wins over NiP and OG in this group stage, but lost to HellRaisers strangely enough. Even though VP.Prodigy, because of their last performances, are heavy favourites here I do think FlyToMoon is capable of taking a map off them. Much of it will depend on a draft, but they have the quality. A safer bet would be VP.Prodigy ML if you can find the good odds.