On day 3 of ESL One Birmingham 2020: Europe & CIS we saw a few surprises. Teams that were supposed to beat their opponents easily, dropped the maps, and underdogs showed some really amazing performances. I think we will see a few more surprises until the end of this group stage. Let’s analyse the most interesting matches of Day 4.
OG @ 1.66
OG has never faced VP.Prodigy until now. This should be a hell of a match. Mostly because OG is not looking good and dominant at all like we are used to. They have 1 win and 1 loss in the group stage. They barely won against Winstrike and they lost their 1-0 lead against FlyToMoon to lose the whole match 1-2. Even though Topson and MidOne (playing from Asia with a higher ping) are back, OG are not looking good currently. I suppose if this would be a TI match that OG would win it easily, they have that important match mentality basically.
But since this is an online tournament, I don’t think they are taking it too seriously. They are very well known for being serious when they need to be (The International) but not taking other tournaments seriously. What does that mean for this match? It means that it will be way closer than the odds are suggesting. VP.Prodigy has a chance as they are on a 4 match winning streak, however, mostly vs CIS teams. We will see how they will cope with a top EU team. Due to Topson being back and OG’s winning mentality overall, I would give them slightly more of a chance for a win. 60-40 for OG if you ask me.
Vikin.gg @ 1.45
NaVi just changed a position 5 player, and we should not expect too much from them. Currently they have 1 win and 1 loss in this league. They won against Unique 2-0, even if Unique had a decent chance to bring it to 1-1, but they threw their lead in game 2. Unique is one of the weakest teams in this tournament, and NaVi was in the situation to lose a map to them. NaVi’s second match was vs Nigma, but they’ve got destroyed easily 0-2.
On the other side, Vikin.gg has a perfect start to this tournament’s group stage. With 2 wins and 4-0 in maps, they are holding 1st place in their group. They are looking really amazing lately, and they can take maps from the best EU teams. In their last 5 matches, they have 5 clean wins. 10-1 in map wins / losses. Pretty impressive. Let’s just say that they beat Team Liquid a few days ago 2-0, and Liquid is one of the best EU teams right now. I think they are big favourites vs NaVi, and that they should take a match. If you can find decent odds on Vikin.gg (~ 1.50+), that should be a really good bet.
Cyber Legacy +1.5 @ 1.68
Cyber Legacy is the most pleasant surprise of this tournament. They have a stand-in on position 3 (Ghostik from B8), but it seems like this lineup is working nicely for them. They have 2 amazing wins in this league and 1 close loss. They have beaten Alliance and Winstrike, and lost narrowly vs VP.Prodigy 1-2.
HellRaisers really have inconsistent performance. With their 1 win over FlyToMoon (which i think is stronger team then HR currently), and 2 clean losses vs Alliance and VP.Prodigy, they are currently holding 7th place in the group, out of 8 teams. Even though HellRaisers are big sportsbook favourites in this match, I would give a decent chance to Cyber Legacy here, at least to take a map off HellRaisers. They played amazingly in all their 3 matches in this tournament, and beating Alliance and taking a map of VP.Prodigy gives them credibility that they can surprise vs HellRaisers too.