The group stage of ESL One Birmingham 2020: Europe & CIS is heating up. We already saw some amazing matches, and some amazing turnarounds and surprises too. That’s why I love online Dota, it's very entertaining and so fun to watch, but very risky and hard to bet on. Let’s check out some of the Day 3 matches.
NiP @ 1.49
FlyToMoon are one example of a team which can surprise. For example, on day 1 they lost to HellRaisers, and on Monday they have beaten OG 2-1, who played with a full lineup. Really impressive performance on day 2, but they still look so inconsistent, and I’m afraid how they will look vs NiP.
NiP is a really solid team, and even if they had some hard moments, they are doing everything to stay relevant, and they are succeeding. In this league, NiP has 2 wins out of 2 matches by beating Winstrike and Alliance. I would give a small advantage here for NiP, even though FlyToMoon can surprise too. If you find decent odds on FlyToMoon +1.5 handicap, that could be a good bet too. However, I do think NiP would need to do their best to beat FlyToMoon, it won’t be easy.
Unique +1.5 @ 2.07
I’m goind for a very risky bet here, but the return should be high. NaVi just made a roster change a few days ago which is a minus for them if you ask me. On the other hand, a small plus for Unique is that dyrachYO from Team Spirit is playing for Unique in this tournament on position 1. He is a really good young player, potential top player in the CIS region in the near future. Unique has a decent team, but sadly they don’t always perform.
Of course NaVi are big favourites here. From the last 5 matches, they have 2 wins, one vs Virtus.Pro and another one vs OG in the OGA Dota Pit. On the other side, Unique is struggling with the European teams, but they are known to be able to pull off a map win over some fellow CIS team, like in their last match vs Virtus.Pro. If they can make a good draft where dyrachYO could carry them, they can take a map off NaVi. Otherwise, NaVi wins 2-0. Hard choice, and very risky, but I’ve decided to take a shot with Unique handicap. As we saw on day 1, this will be an interesting group stage.
Nigma -1.5 @ 1.59
Aggressive Mode started this tournament’s group stage with a nice 2-0 win over Team Unique. On the other hand, Nigma demolished NaVi with the same result, and maybe showed that they are finally ready to win some matches, compared to their failures in the previous tournaments. Nigma is obviously one of the strongest teams on the paper in Europe, however, they are not performing recently. Hopefully this tournament is a breakpoint for them.
They looked good vs NaVi, and I do believe Aggressive Mode is one of the weakest teams in this tournament, and they will hardly do anything against Nigma in my opinion. 2-0 for Nigma here is very likely if they repeat their performance vs NaVi. Of course, we saw how Nigma’s performance did vary a lot in the previous tournaments, so let’s be careful here. Find good odds, go small.
HellRaisers +1.5 @ 1.62
Alliance just lost their 1st match in this league with a 1-2 result vs Cyber Legacy, one of the weakest teams in the tournament. Alliance is in terrible form as they are on a 4 match losing streak. S4 is not performing, and as he is position 3 player, he is crucial for their wins. However, it seems like time overtook him. Another bad performing player is fng, he simply doesn’t fit in this lineup, and for me he is another problem with Alliance.
Last time those two teams faced each other was 5 days ago in the OGA Dota Pit, and Alliance took that match with a close 2-1 result. HellRaisers are a very unstable team. From the very strong, top 2 CIS teams in the early season, they’ve become a team that is struggling a lot. However, they’ve shown a glimpse of hope, good plays in their recent matches vs FlyToMoon, Winstrike and Alliance. HellRaisers have a nice chance to shock Alliance even more after their defeat vs Cyber Legacy.