After a few days of pause, OGA Dota Pit is moving on with a playday 3. Monday matches will feature some really amazing clashes between EU and CIS teams. Let’s closely analyze all 4 matches.
OG @ 1.33
OG had a perfect opening in OGA Dota Pit. With their 2-0 win over HellRaisers, they are currently holding 1st place in their group. Let’s just say OG is playing this tournament with an almost full lineup. Topson is still away, and Ceb is replacing him. MidOne is back to the OG lineup, even though he is playing in a slightly different position.
Vikin.gg have played 2 matches already in the group, and they have lost both of them. 1-2 vs Alliance and the same result vs FlyToMoon brought them to the last place in the group currently. I do think OG are a way better team, and the smartest bet here would be OG ML bet, in case you find decent odds. Vikin.gg are struggling a lot currently, and I wouldn’t be surprised if OG 2-0 them.
FlyToMoon +1.5 @ 1.49
I would say that this match is more even then the odds are showing, let’s say around 60-40 for Alliance. Alliance has a 2-1 win vs Vikin.gg in round 1, while FlyToMoon has played 2 matches already and they have 2 wins. Same 2-1 win vs Vikin.gg and 2-0 vs HellRaisers. Alliance lost recently to Liquid and Secret in EU competitions, while FlyToMoon was fighting with both Virtus.Pro squads evenly (main and academy), but they failed to win both matches.
FlyToMoon is rising in form, and they are looking better than ever. I would say they have the play that can surprise Alliance. They can take a map here, and if they will have a good day they can even beat Alliance for sure. Alliance is struggling in some matches, even in ones they are winning and I would say their position 5 replacement player fng is not contributing to the team as much as they would want him to.
Team Secret -1.5 @ 1.67
Team Secret is just on fire and there is no team in Europe that can beat them at the moment. Currently, they have 1 strong 2-0 win over Virtus.Pro, while Team Liquid are at 1 win and 1 loss. They have beaten Team Spirit, but lost to Ninjas in Pyjamas. Can they beat Team Secret on Monday? I don’t think so.
Team Secret is just on the another level compared to all other EU/CIS squads. They have 5 wins out of the last 5 matches, while Team Liquid struggled and lost matches vs teams like Alliance, NiP, and VP.Prodigy. Even if Team Liquid is looking better and better, I doubt they can take a win here. Maybe if Puppey does bad drafting, Liquid will be able to take a map off, but there is more chance that Secret will crush this match with 2-0 too. In the last 5 matches, they’ve dropped a map only in one match.
Ninjas in Pyjamas -1.5 @ 2.00
I’m pretty sure that Team Spirit is very close to being pressured to do something with their lineup. Change a player or reorganize their squad. They are on a big losing streak as out of their last 5 matches, they have 0 wins. In their OGA Dota Pit group they have 1 loss vs Team Liquid.
On the other side, NiP are struggling sometimes, but they are showing signs of an amazing team. I do think their lineup has a decent potential for the future, they just need more work. They have 2 wins in the group, one vs Liquid and another one vs Virtus.Pro. Amazing performance from them in the start of this league. However, in their last match vs Team Secret, we could see how their struggle is real vs a top team who can read the game much better then them. I do believe they could 2-0 Team Spirit and continue their winning trend in this group. Odds on that are amazing. Much safer bet is a NiP ML win.