OGA Dota PIT 2020 Online is entering day 2 with some amazing matches. On day 1 we saw some surprises, but some teams extended their winning streaks (Team Secret, FlyToMoon) as well.
FlyToMoon @ 2.20
On the day 1 we saw FlyToMoon beat Vikin.gg with a 2-1 score. It looked like FTM had the win in their pocket after the 2nd map, but Vikin.gg managed to come back into the game and even the series. On the other side HellRaisers were demolished by 2x TI champions OG with MidOne and Ceb in their lineup. I’m feeling like HellRaisers dropped in their form quite heavily, and their match history shows that. They have only 1 win in the last 5 matches, while FlyToMoon is on an amazing winning streak. 5 wins out of 5 last matches.
FTM’s carry Iceberg played amazingly on Day 1, and I expect him to repeat his performance on Day 2. Even though HellRaisers are sportsbooks favourites, I would go here with FTM win. They have all that it takes. However, in their last clash, HellRaisers won the match 2-0. Now 19 days later, it’s maybe the time for revenge.
Vikin.gg +1.5 @ 1.74
Vikin.gg have looked pretty good lately, but on the day 1 of this event, they were shut down by FlyToMoon. Alliance still hasn’t played any matches in this league, as this will be their opening match. Alliance are big favourites here, but I am worried about their strength currently as they still haven’t found a long term solution on the position 5. I don’t think SoNNeikO is the right solution, due to possible communication issues.
Alliance has lately lost to Team Liquid and VP.Prodigy, while Vikin.gg has some decent wins vs tier 2 EU / CIS teams. Yes, Alliance are favourites here, but Vikin.gg will be a big threat to them, as they surely can take a map here. They can fight top EU teams for sure. Nice bet with amazing odds.
Ninjas In Pyjamas +1.5 @ 1.56
Ninjas In Pyjamas had an amazing league opening on Wednesday. They were the underdog vs Team Liquid and they managed to take the series 2-1. Such a nice confidence boost for them. On the other side, Virtus.Pro is looking lost lately, as they can’t find their pace vs top tier teams. They have lost vs Team Liquid and Team Secret twice in the last days, without taking a map.
Yes, NiP is not a top EU team yet, but surely they have capacity for it. I do think NiP can surprise VP too, as they did with Team Liquid yesterday. VP is on a slight knock down, as they were again destroyed by Team Secret yesterday. That’s a chance for NiP. VP are sportsbooks favourite, NiP are underdogs here, but I believe they can surely take a map here. Handicap is a good bet here.
Team Liquid -1.5 @ 2.11
Team Liquid somehow dropped their first match in this league to NiP. They opened it with a strong 1-0 lead, but in the next 2 games they fell apart. In the last 5 matches, Team Liquid has only 2 wins and 3 losses. Out of those 2 wins, one win was 2-0 vs Virtus.Pro and another one was 2-1 win over Alliance. From their win vs Virtus.Pro we can draw some conclusions that they are comfortable by playing CIS teams and beating them (not including VP.P of course).
Team Spirit is dropping in form, they’ve replaced one player and now they have 0LD_A on position 3. Did he adapt already? I don’t think so. Their results lately are disastrous, as they have only 1 win in their last 5 matches, and that was a win over currently very weak Team Unique. I do think Spirit has quality carry players with a lot of potential, but they need stability. Liquid is a big favourite here, but odds on Liquid’s win are so low. I do think there is a decent chance that Liquid can 2-0 Spirit. I would say chances for that are 60%, and if we check out those -1.5 handicap odds on Liquid, it turns out it is worth a risk.