We are coming to the last 3 days of ESL One Birmingham. Friday is the day for another 2 amazing matches. Upper bracket finals and lower bracket round 3 match. 4 teams left. Let’s see who has a chance to make it to the grand finals.
Team Nigma +1.5 @ 1.81
Let’s be honest here. Team Secret is showing the best performance in this tournament, and I do think they will end up in the grand finals and eventually win the whole event. The best two teams from group A are facing each other now. Both Secret and Nigma had an almost perfect group stage run.
Team Secret has already beat Nigma in the group stage 2-0. And that was the only loss that Nigma has from the groups. Secret lost to Alliance with a 1-2 to drop to the lower bracket, and now they need to fight for their lives. This is a do or die for both teams, the loser is going home, and will face VP.Prodigy / Alliance in the losers bracket finals. In their last match, Secret won against FlyToMoon 2-0, while Nigma demolished Liquid 2-0. I do think that Nigma is in the top 2 teams that are playing the best Dota in this tournament, however best Dota doesn’t always mean a win.
If you can find a decent ML odds on Team Secret (1.30 maybe), go with that, that’s the safest bet. Again, handicap -1.5 on Team Secret has lower odds then Nigma +1.5, and again I’m struggling what to pick. But I do think eventually someone can take a map off Secret or even beat them like Alliance, and Nigma showed really cool plays. Even if they lost to them in the group stage without taking a map, I do think they can take a map here. Of course it’s a big gamble.
Alliance @ 1.85
Alliance seems like they are in great shape recently or at least in this tournament. Even though they had a worse record than VP.Prodigy in the group stage, they are doing amazingly in the playoffs and they took down the best team in Europe, Team Secret. That must be a big plus for them.
VP.Prodigy however did beat Nigma, so that evens up the score. Their match history is not long as they had 2 official matches. First match went to VP.Prodigy’s side, while Alliance beat VP.Prodigy in their most recent match, 5 days ago. This is funny, as this is another match where we will see 1st and 2nd ranked teams from the same group face each other in the playoffs of the same tournament.
Alliance is on a 6 match win streak, while VP.Prodigy lost only to Alliance recently. Their last loss (not including Alliance) was on May 15th vs their main squad. They are doing amazingly too. I do think this will be another close match, maybe 3 map match. I’m giving a slight advantage to Alliance, since they’ve beat VP.Prodigy with 2-0 result five days ago in the same tournament. They surely can do it again. Odds are amazing on Alliance ML.