Day 2 of the ESL One Birmingham 2020 - Online: Europe & CIS playoffs was really exciting. We watched all 3 maps in both series and we saw one big surprise. Let’s see what awaits us on Thursday.
FlyToMoon +1.5 @ 2.40
Team Secret had a pretty hard match on Wednesday in the upper bracket round 1 vs Alliance. Team Secret started perfectly with a quick 20 minute map 1 win over Alliance, but in the next two maps they struggled and Alliance managed to bring those maps in their favour. Shocking win for Alliance over Team Secret. I guess very few people believed that Alliance could win against Team Secret, the strongest and most dominant team in Europe right now. But that’s online Dota.
FlyToMoon secured their opportunity to battle vs Team Secret with a 2-0 win over Vikin.gg in the lower bracket round 1. FlyToMoon is another team that is doing really well as they are on a 5 match win streak. In their last 5 matches they havent’t lost a single map, as they have a 10-0 score in maps. However, this is most probably one of the harder challenges that they could have right now. Team Secret showed that they are vulnerable in yesterday’s match vs Alliance and their loss vs Team Unique a few days back. FlyToMoon has all the tools to take Secret down in this situation. They need to learn from their previous matches and take Secret by surprise.
Even though Team Secret are big favourites here and will probably take the match in the end, I would give a chance to FlyToMoon. Team Secret is obviously shaken, and if Alliance took 2 maps off them, FlyToMoon can make a surprise too. Odds on FlyToMoon handicap are sick, and I do believe they can take a map off strong Secret. After watching Team Secret yesterday vs Alliance, -1.5 on Secret is just too risky compared to the small return it can bring.
Team Nigma @ 1.68
Nigma showed an amazing performance in the group stage. With 6 wins and 1 loss they’ve finished in 2nd place in the group, right behind Team Secret. Sadly, they didn’t manage to surprise VP.Prodigy in upper bracket round 1. Nigma was an underdog in that match, and they were even on the first 2 maps vs VP.Prodigy. However, even though they started good on map 3, their lineup was not strong enough for VP.Prodigy’s late game. They have dropped to the lower bracket now, where they need to face Team Liquid.
Let’s just remind ourselves that Liquid and Nigma faced each other in the group stage of this tournament. Nigma took that match with a 2-1 result. I would give Nigma a slight edge here. Liquid is pretty strong too right now, but I think Nigma is showing a little bit more in this tournament. They are favourites in my head and in this match too and I believe they should take it. Team Nigma ML should be a good bet here with decent odds.
Hopefully, Nigma’s loss vs VP.Prodigy won’t affect them on Thursday in their deciding match. Let’s keep in mind, this is a lower bracket match. The loser is eliminated and the winner will face the winner of Secret / FTM in the next round of the lower bracket. This is Nigma’s chance to prove that their previous tournament runs are forgotten. They can win this on their experience and if w33 doesn’t make so many mistakes like in their match vs VP.Prodigy.