And here we are. The last day of Beyond Epic: EU/CIS group stage. 3 playoff spots are still up for grabs, while Team Empire and Team Unique are the first teams eliminated from the tournament. Here are the final day matchups.
Team Secret -1.5 @ 1.23
This is the first match that Team Secret will play today. And it should be an easier one. Team Secret are heavy favourites in this matchup. They currently have 2 wins and 1 loss. Surprisingly enough, they didn’t manage to beat Team Nigma yesterday. Nigma crushed them with a clean 2-0 result, a result that not many people expected. That being said, Team Secret is still not locked in to take a playoff spot. To secure top 4 they will need to win at least 1 match today.
B8’s new lineup is performing much better than the old one, but still that’s not enough for top tier EU Dota. They have only 1 win out of 4 matches, and they are on the edge of being eliminated. They can’t beat Team Secret, and that loss will eliminate them from the tournament. Team Secret is just another level compared to B8, and Secret needs this easy win. Anything other than a 2-0 win for Team Secret would be a big surprise.
Virtus.Pro @ 1.50
Seems like Virtus.Pro have recuperated after their bad start in this league. After going 0-2 in the first two matches, they’ve come back with two straight 2-0 wins. They’ve crushed Team Liquid and Team Empire to shake things up in group B. Virtus.Pro can’t finish top 2 anymore, so they will need to fight for the 3rd and 4th position now, which leads to the playoffs but in the lower bracket.
Strangely enough, both Virtus.Pro and NiP lost to FlyToMoon and Alliance with the same scores. NiP has only 1 win out of 4 matches, and they need to win this match if they want to advance on. But Virtus.Pro is playing better and better and I do think they have a slightly better chance in this match. This can go all 3 maps, and the match is way closer then odds are suggesting. I’m going Virtus.Pro ML because of their successful recent match history.
OG +1.5 @ 1.93
The best comes at the end. If Secret beats B8 like I’m expecting, they will secure top 4 placement in their group. That win will secure OG’s spot too. Calculations could kick in here, but 2nd place currently held by Vikin.gg can still be up for grabs. It will be interesting to see who finishes in 2nd place from that trio - Secret, Vikin.gg, OG.
It’s interesting that OG’s only loss was vs Vikin.gg, but on the other hand they’ve beat Nigma with 2-1, a team that crushed Team Secret with 2-0 yesterday. I doubt this will be so easy for Team Secret as the odds suggest. I would give OG a chance to take a map, that is doable for sure. If they show their best performance they can surprise and shock Team Secret. I think there is more chance for OG +1.5 handicap here than Secret -1.5. Odds on Secret ML are too low to bet on.