ESL One Los Angeles 2020 - Online: Europe & CIS group stage is coming to an end. This is the last group matchday. Both groups will be played on Thursday, as this is the last round. After those matches we will find out which 4 teams from each group are moving on to the playoffs. Let’s make a short analysis of all upcoming matches.
OG -1.5 @ 2.12
OG is currently holding 2nd place in the group with 4 wins and 2 losses. Even if they lost 5 maps totally until now, it is expected that they can win vs what looks like a weak Gambit. Gambit is 2-4 in the group stage and they need a win to finish in top 4. However, as this is the last round, both teams need to win, and if we have a serious match OG is a much better team, even though they have 2 stand-ins. OG to win is a safe bet, but I’m running for the odds, and expecting OG to 2-0 Gambit.
Vikin.gg +1.5 @ 1.67
Vikin.gg are on the 5 match win streak in all Dota 2 tournaments they play currently. In this tournament they are currently the 3rd ranked team with 4 wins and 2 losses. On the other side, Nigma is not looking like a top tier team at the moment, as they are struggling a lot. With 3 wins and 3 losses they need this win to stay in the top 4. Vikin.gg have shown good games already in this tournament, and I don’t see a reason why they shouldn’t be able to take a map off a vulnerable Nigma. Nice odds on the handicap.
Virtus.Pro -1.5 @ 1.53
This match can be a double edged sword. Virtus.Pro already secured 1st place in the group and they are safe. On the other side B8 are on the bottom, currently on the last place, and they don’t have a chance to advance anymore. It is questionable how this can affect the teams. Will Virtus.Pro take this clash seriously or they will joke around or will B8 even try to win or they don’t care anymore? Truth is somewhere in the middle, but I do think Virtus.Pro can easily win vs the weakest team in this group.
Cyber Legacy +1.5 @ 1.57
This match is a fight between 6th ranked HellRaisers and 7th ranked Cyber Legacy. The winner of this match still has a chance to finish at top 4 and advance on. Well, it depends on the other results in the group. Both teams have only 2 wins out of 6 matches, with HellRaisers having a slightly favoured map win-loss ratio. HellRaisers are slight favourites here, but let’s guess this will go to all 3 maps. CL handicap is heavily possible.
Team Liquid @ 2.21
We are exploiting the odds, remember? None of those teams have any chance to advance on, as both teams are at the bottom of the group B. Liquid was 0-5 until yesterday’s match vs NiP, which they comfortably won 2-0. Seems like they are playing better when there is no pressure attached. NaVi has 2 wins and 4 losses but they didn’t show anything special in this tournament either. This will be the clash without stakes, and we can expect anything here. I’m picking Liquid at amazing odds.
Team Secret -1.5 @ 1.42
Team Secret are the most dominant team in this tournament so far with 6 wins and 0 losses. They’ve only lost 2 maps so far. I really love Unique, they are one of the real underdogs who showed amazing performances. Sadly, they’ve replaced 1 player in the last day or so and they are playing with a new player in position 4. Something is going on within the team, as they were looking really solid until now. They are out of this tournament, they don’t have a chance to advance on and their late game is still very weak. Secret demolished Alliance in the last round with 2-0, I think they can do this to Unique too. Anything other than Secret win would be a big big surprise.
Alliance @ 1.83
Chicken fighters are holding 3rd place in the group, while Alliance are holding 4th place. Chicken fighters are 1 win better than Alliance, as they have 4 wins and only 2 losses. Who would have thought that they would perform so well. For a new squad that is a really impressive performance that we’ve witnessed in this group stage. Alliance was demolished by Team Secret in the last round in under 46 minutes (both maps included), while Chicken Fighters managed to turn around map 3 vs Unique and they won the match 2-1. Pretty even match and even odds on this one. I chose Alliance, as I do think NikoBaby is one of the best carries currently in Europe. CF don’t have players of such caliber. Close match, anyway. 3 maps highly possible.
Team Spirit @ 2.13
Team Spirit made a positive impact on the casters and on the whole community. They are playing so nicely and aggressive, that not a lot of teams can adjust to that. They are right beneath Team Secret in the rankings, and they have a high chance to finish at top 2 and secure an upper bracket playoff position. NiP got demolished by last placed Team Liquid, and I’m not sure what happened in that game. NiP needs a win here in order to get into top 4. This will be a hard match, and NiP are favoured by sportsbooks. But I give a better chance to Team Spirit, odds are amazing.