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BLAST Pro Series Copenhagen 2019

The last stop of the BLAST Pro Series is set to get underway in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Valentin Gustafsson
Freelance Esports Writer
29th Oct, 2019·☕️ 6 min read
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The last stop of the BLAST Pro Series is set to get underway in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Competition Information

BLAST Pro Series is a circuit of tournaments organized by RFRSH Entertainment. BLAST Pro Series Copenhagen will be the last tournament on the circuit before the Global Final is set to kick off in Bahrain. Team Liquid, Astralis and FaZe have already qualified. However, the last spot is still up for grabs as Cloud9 and NaVi could potentially tie NiP on 16 points with a win in Copenhagen.

The format used for the group stage will be best-of-one round-robin with no overtime. Tiebreakers will be used in case of a tie at the end of the group stage. The top two teams at the end of the group stage will move straight to the best-of-three final.

The standings are as follows:

  • 🇺🇸 Liquid (26 points) Qualified
  • 🇩🇰 Astralis (22 points) Qualified
  • 🇪🇺 FaZe (20 points) Qualified
  • 🇸🇪 NiP (16 points)
  • 🇷🇺 NaVi (6 points)
  • 🇺🇸 Cloud9 (6 points)

With NiP sitting at sixteen points, NaVi or Cloud9 would need to win, whilst NiP would need to finish last for there to be a tiebreaker scenario. The tiebreaker system used will be head-to-head, which means that Cloud9 or NaVi would be the one to move on in that scenario.

This will be the third time that this event is played in Copenhagen. Interestingly, the home team Astralis have yet to win this event despite coming in as favorites in 2018 and 2017. Instead, it has been NaVi and SK (MIBR) that have found themselves on top of the podium.

BLAST Pro Series Copenhagen starts November 2 and will finish November 3.

The Current Season

Astralis
Record: 88 / 0 / 32
Most Played Map: Dust2 (64.5%)
Best Map: Vertigo (87.5%)
Worst Map: Mirage (60.0%)

Odds: 1.95

Astralis are coming in as the overwhelming favorite to win on home soil at odds of 1.95. The Danes haven’t looked as impressive in 2019 as they did in late 2018, as teams like Liquid, EG, ENCE, Vitality, fnatic and even FURIA have been able to find success against them in best-of-three scenarios so far this year. Despite a drop off in form, Astralis were able to win the coveted Berlin Major back in September, proving that they still have what it takes to win premier tournaments. Astralis have won three out of the six BLAST events that they have participated in since Magisk joined the roster. However, their only win in 2019 was BLAST Pro Series Lisbon back in March. Astralis had to really grind through that group stage, as all of the teams were able to break double digits against them, including some close matches against Liquid, ENCE and FaZe. This was much due to the BO1 format, as teams were able to force Astralis to a map like Dust2 where they are more vulnerable.

Liquid
Record: 135 / 1 / 51
Most Played Map: Overpass (71.7%)
Best Map: Dust2 (77.8%)
Worst Map: Vertigo (66.7%)

Odds: 3.00

Team Liquid have been in truly remarkable form for most of 2019, winning tournament after tournament in dominant fashion. However, the player break put an end to that hot streak as they immediately found themselves in trouble during the Berlin major after losses to AVANGAR and NRG in groups, before ultimately falling to Astralis in the quarter-finals. They found themselves on the losing end of that rivalry yet again at ESL One New York before bombing out in groups to Grayhound during DreamHack Masters Malmö. However, Team Liquid’s record at BLAST events has been excellent this year with one win and two runner-up finishes in three events played. As such, Liquid are clear favorites to win in Copenhagen alongside Astralis.

Natus Vincere
Record: 13 / 0 / 7
Most Played Map: Overpass (83.3%)
Best Map: Inferno (100.0%)
Worst Map: Mirage (0.0%)

Odds: 6.30

Long-time in-game leader Zeus has now retired from CS:GO, which meant that GuardiaN would be acquired from FaZe. This has put s1mple back on the rifle as GuardiaN has been the one to pick up the big green gun as the main AWPer for the team. There were clear signs of promise initially as NaVi looked dangerous with their upgrade in firepower. However, some recent mishaps against the likes of Heroic and G2 appear to have made them visually frustrated, with s1mple lashing out at GuardiaN on multiple occasions. Of course, this is nothing new with NaVi. However, GuardiaN has looked far from comfortable in many of their matches, and it begs to question if it really was the right choice to move back to the team that he initially left due to the atmosphere in the team. Skillwise, they definitely have what it takes to challenge for titles but they need to get it together on the server if they wish to do so.

Ninjas in Pyjamas
Record: 19 / 0 / 17
Most Played Map: Inferno (66.7%)
Best Map: Mirage (75.0%)
Worst Map: Vertigo (0.0%)

Odds: 20.50

With GeT_RiGhT leaving the team, NiP finally managed to acquire a player that they have had their eyes on for years; twist. The move means that f0rest has gone back to rifling more frequently, opting to pick up the AWP on the CT side on maps such as Dust2 where he is more comfortable with the weapon. The changes have been positive for the Swedish side, and they already have some solid wins against top competition like EG and Vitality in best-of-threes. You never expect too much from the Swedes, but there is no denying that they have some upset potential at a tournament like BLAST.

FaZe
Record: 9 / 0 / 11
Most Played Map: Nuke (42.9%)
Best Map: Inferno (100.0%)
Worst Map: Vertigo (0.0%)

Odds: 13.50

With GuardiaN making the move over to NaVi, FaZe went and picked up yet another big name to replace him; coldzera. FaZe have been in shambles for quite some time now, and so far coldzera has been unable to change that. In fact, he had his worst ever tournament statistically in his debut at ESL One New York. Despite this, I think that they will gradually get better — and much like NiP, they have some upset potential at BLAST due to the format.

Cloud9
Record: 12 / 2 / 22
Most Played Map: Mirage (11.1%)
Best Map: Overpass (80.0%)
Worst Map: Inferno (0.0%)

Odds: 50.50

The North American side Cloud9 are coming in as the biggest underdog in the competition at odds of 50.50 — and for good reason. They have struggled even domestically against the likes of eUnited, compLexity and Sharks, teams that are far from the level of the competition at BLAST. Their recent results have seen Cloud9 make the sudden removal of their youngest player, TenZ, in favor of Subroza who last played for swag’s Swole Patrol. Subroza was actually one of the standout players from that team, however, Cloud9 fans were likely hoping for a bigger name to join the roster. Cloud9 is probably the only team at this event that I can’t see make the finals despite the format, as they just don’t have the quality to match most of these teams.

Betting Preview

The format at BLAST is outright terrible. The round-robin group stage is all BO1s which makes favorites vulnerable to upsets. We have seen teams like Astralis struggle in this format as lesser teams are able to avoid their strongest maps. I would recommend against betting favorites here and instead, look to target underdogs either in the group stage or in the outright market. The bet that I like the most is NiP and FaZe in the ‘To Make Finals’ market or as a straight winner with hedge potential. These teams might not have what it takes to win the event, but they have a chance at making the finals due to the format which makes them an interesting prospect at the longer odds. NiP and FaZe opened at 30/1 and 18/1 respectively and the odds have since shortened. However, there is still some value to be had there.

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